« Vice President Debate | Main | Chattanooga »
پیر 13 اکتوبر 2008Monday, October 13, 2008
Electoral Vote Predictors
Being a political junkie means I follow polls and electoral projections. Add to it the nerd factor and I love to see all sorts of prediction algorithms used to figure out the electoral votes for Obama and McCain.
The best such site is Pollster.com which is very comprehensive and now with their flash applications very customizable too. You can even embed their poll trend graphs on your own website. They use LOESS local regression to calculate the current vote share for the candidates.
In 2004, I discovered Electoral-Vote.com which is run by Andrew Tanenbaum who I knew because of his Computer Science textbooks.
I like the Princeton Election Consortium site because not only do they provide details of their methods but also their code.
FiveThirtyEight weights pollsters by reliability and also takes into account the demographics of each state for their projection.
RealClear Politics averages recent polls to arrive at their electoral map.
Andrea Moro uses statistical simulations to assign the winner for each state.
Finally, 3BlueDudes has a huge list of election projection websites.
Tags: election, politics, poll, prediction, president, statistics, united states
Posted by Zack at October 13, 2008 4:40 AM in Politics , Science and Technology
Related Entries
- Electoral Vote Predictors
- Georgia Election Analysis III
- Obama Campaign Volunteer
- New Hampshire Primary
- Primary Campaign
- Torture, Prosecution, CIA and Public
Advertisements
Trackback Pings
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.zackvision.com/mt/zv-trbk.cgi/1180
Comments
Post a comment
Note: Disagreements are welcome, but please keep it civil. Any comments full of hatred, bigotry, trolling or spam will be deleted and the commenter banned. Do read the commenting policy.
Valid XHTML: You have to preview your comment to make sure that it is valid XHTML 1.1. You will see the "Post" button on the preview page.
Urdu: To comment in Urdu, include "p[ur](urdu). " (with a space at the end and without the quotes) at the start of every Urdu paragraph. If you want to write an Urdu word(s) in an English paragraph, do it like this: %[ur](urdu)اردو%. If you want to put an English word(s) in an Urdu paragraph, write it like this: %[en](en)English words%.
PGP Signing: PGP-signed comments are encouraged. However, clearsigning Urdu text with GPGshell produces garbage.
MathML: Select the Textile with itex to MathML text filter. What you'll use is itex, which is a superset of WebTeX and differs somewhat from standard LaTeX.
Text Filters: For regular comments, whether in English or Urdu, keep the text filter setting to its default of Textile 2. Change it to Textile with itex to MathML when writing MathML.